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Agneta and the heavy rain in southern Romania

Extreme Weather
Data Analysis
Dated Meteosat imagery and observations through 4 November show Agneta’s Mediterranean context and the changing pattern of rain across southern Romania.
Author

Climate Explorer Team

Published

3 November 2026

Modified

4 November 2026

After a day that brought 77.8 mm at Constanța, the latest completed reporting day was much less wet at that station: 7.3 mm by 06:00 UTC on 4 November. Rain continued inland, with 23.9 mm at Giurgiu and 23.1 mm at Craiova over the same 24 hours. ANM’s daily map and the national reports delivered through MeteoGate show the same amounts.

These changing local amounts sit within the wider Mediterranean weather sequence around Agneta. Dated official bulletins described the low first over southern Italy and later over Greece, moving east. Satellite imagery gives a view of the cloud system; station observations show where and when precipitation was measured.

EUMETSAT satellite view of the Mediterranean, 2 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC nominal scan. Country borders, coastlines and names identify Italy, Greece, Romania, Bulgaria, Türkiye and the surrounding region beneath the cloud system.

Agneta’s Mediterranean cloud system on 2 November 2026, 12:00 UTC nominal scan. EUMETSAT MTG-I/FCI True Colour RGB; borders and coastlines: Natural Earth 50m. Contains modified EUMETSAT Meteosat imagery 2026 (CC BY 4.0); geographic labels added by Climate Explorer.

Image source: EUMETSAT EUMETView · CC BY 4.0 · Geographic outlines: Natural Earth.

From southern Italy towards Greece

Italy’s meteorological service lists Agneta with an Italian impact date of 2 November. Greek Civil Protection’s bulletin that day described a low over southern Italy moving east and forecast severe weather affecting parts of Greece through 3 November.

The satellite image above comes from 2 November at 12:00 UTC nominal scan time, during that central Mediterranean phase. It shows a curved cloud system around southern Italy and Sicily, with broader cloud bands extending across the region. It is a processed true-colour view of measured satellite channels, rather than a map of rainfall amounts.

A later AEMET Mediterranean marine bulletin, valid from 20:00 UTC on 3 November to 20:00 UTC on 4 November, described Agneta over Greece, moving east. Together, these dated descriptions provide a broad progression across the Mediterranean. They do not locate its centre precisely at every intervening hour.

A cyclone is a low-pressure weather system, with anticlockwise circulation in the Northern Hemisphere. Rising moist air can cool and condense into cloud and precipitation, while associated fronts spread the weather beyond the centre. That is why the cloud system, the low’s position and a station’s accumulated rain answer different parts of the story.

The latest rain was lighter at the coast, but continued inland

The latest daily observations cover 06:00 UTC on 3 November to 06:00 UTC on 4 November. Constanța’s 7.3 mm followed 77.8 mm during the preceding reporting day. Drobeta-Turnu Severin recorded 7.6 mm in the latest day, while Bucharest-Filaret recorded 14.6 mm.

Four 06:00–06:00 UTC daily bar panels compare five southern Romanian sites. Drobeta’s largest report is 65.8 mm in 1–2 November; Constanța’s is 77.8 mm in 2–3 November, followed by 7.3 in 3–4 November. The latest day gives Giurgiu 23.9 mm and Craiova 23.1 mm. All twenty values appear in the annex.

Daily precipitation at five selected sites. Each panel covers one 24-hour interval from 06:00 to 06:00 UTC; the latest ends on 4 November.

The largest of the four selected daily reports came at different times. Drobeta’s 65.8 mm fell in the interval ending on the morning of 2 November; Constanța’s 77.8 mm came in the following reporting day. At Craiova, the latest 23.1 mm was its largest of these four daily amounts. These are differences between selected stations, rather than an observed track of the cyclone.

Four days of precipitation across the region

Over the common 31 October 06:00–4 November 06:00 UTC window, the selected southern Romanian totals were 98.4 mm at Drobeta, 88.5 mm at Constanța, 75.7 mm at Giurgiu, 66.1 mm at Craiova and 61.6 mm at Bucharest-Filaret. These inland, coastal and urban sites give geographic contrasts without claiming a regional maximum.

Map of seven selected sites over 31 October 06:00 to 4 November 06:00 UTC, 2026: Rhodes airport 99.5 mm, Drobeta 98.4, Constanța 88.5, Ogulin 84.8, Falconara 76.6, Negotin 68.9 and Bucharest-Filaret 61.6. Points do not define a rainfall surface or cyclone track.

Selected gauges over the same 96 hours, ending 4 November at 06:00 UTC. Totals include earlier rain and are not assigned wholly to Agneta.

The same four-day comparison gives 99.5 mm at Rhodes airport in Greece, 84.8 mm at Ogulin in Croatia, 76.6 mm at Falconara in Italy and 68.9 mm at Negotin in Serbia. Each value describes a station, not a whole country or the rainfall between the points.

The comparison includes rain before Agneta’s forecast approach to Romania. Contemporary Romanian reporting distinguished the preceding cyclonic weather from the approaching main system. The daily detail therefore matters: the entire four-day accumulation cannot be assigned to Agneta from the totals alone.

How the observations were compared

The article uses national station reports through EUMETNET MeteoGate and the EuroMeteo archive, supplemented by the latest primary reports. At eight sites, four consecutive daily reports cover the 96 hours; Falconara uses eight consecutive 12-hour reports. The calculation adds non-overlapping intervals without filling gaps. Amounts are millimetres of water-equivalent precipitation and remain provisional.

Explore the observations: the EuroMeteo Explorer and EuroMeteo guide provide the reader-facing route into the dataset. The annex lists the WIGOS identifiers—the unique station codes—and exact periods used here. The earlier reports are preserved in the archive after they leave the primary service’s shorter recent window.

Conclusion

The Mediterranean cyclone’s dated evolution provides the weather context, while the updated observations show how the rain varied locally. Constanța’s latest daily amount was lower than the preceding day’s downpour, yet rain continued at the selected inland sites. The four-day totals show the accumulation; the daily reports keep earlier and more recent phases visible.

Editor’s note: Observations are current as of 4 November 2026 at 06:00 UTC (08:00 in Romania), the latest common completed daily interval for these stations. The satellite image is from 2 November at 12:00 UTC nominal scan time. These are provisional observations within a wider weather episode, not final totals attributed wholly to Agneta.

Data Annex

All four-day totals cover 31 October 2026 06:00 UTC–4 November 2026 06:00 UTC. Daily amounts use consecutive 06:00–06:00 UTC reporting periods.

Source station metadata: EUMETNET MeteoGate catalogue.
Station Country WIGOS identifier Latitude Longitude
Falconara Italy 0-20000-0-16191 43.61667 13.36028
Rhodes airport Greece 0-20000-0-16749 36.40000 28.08333
Ogulin Croatia 0-20000-0-14328 45.26300 15.22200
Negotin Serbia 0-20000-0-13295 44.23000 22.55000
Drobeta-Turnu Severin Romania 0-20000-0-15410 44.62639 22.62583
Craiova Romania 0-20000-0-15450 44.31003 23.86695
Giurgiu Romania 0-20000-0-15491 43.87500 25.93250
Bucharest-Filaret Romania 0-20000-0-15422 44.41195 26.09361
Constanța Romania 0-20000-0-15480 44.21389 28.64556
Four-day window: 31 October 06:00–4 November 06:00 UTC, 2026. Latest day: 3 November 06:00–4 November 06:00 UTC. Source: national reports through MeteoGate and EuroMeteo; provisional.
Station Four-day total (mm) Latest 24 hours (mm)
Falconara 76.6 0.0
Rhodes airport 99.5 0.3
Ogulin 84.8 11.6
Negotin 68.9 11.2
Drobeta-Turnu Severin 98.4 7.6
Craiova 66.1 23.1
Giurgiu 75.7 23.9
Bucharest-Filaret 61.6 14.6
Constanța 88.5 7.3
Daily precipitation in mm. Every interval runs from 06:00 to 06:00 UTC in 2026. Source: ANM station reports through MeteoGate and EuroMeteo; provisional.
Station 31 Oct–1 Nov 1–2 November 2–3 November 3–4 November
Drobeta-Turnu Severin 6.4 65.8 18.6 7.6
Craiova 6.3 21.6 15.1 23.1
Giurgiu 3.6 36.4 11.8 23.9
Bucharest-Filaret 13.5 16.8 16.7 14.6
Constanța 0.0 3.4 77.8 7.3

Data Sources